Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 1.853192 1.953702 2.057960 2.174426 2.301188 2.435300 2.588341
2026-01-25 1.677578 1.820959 1.976516 2.158813 2.367879 2.601714 2.885259
2026-02-01 1.533653 1.700814 1.888331 2.116300 2.388766 2.707657 3.114749
2026-02-08 1.403440 1.581259 1.785770 2.041458 2.357069 2.740141 3.250414
2026-02-15 1.316788 1.503829 1.723617 2.005228 2.362996 2.811903 3.434216
2026-02-22 1.256899 1.452900 1.687716 1.995410 2.396944 2.916927 3.666373
2026-03-01 1.196370 1.396697 1.640554 1.966144 2.400812 2.979281 3.842231
2026-03-08 1.120591 1.317292 1.559424 1.887031 2.331584 2.935069 3.858616
2026-03-15 1.083242 1.284065 1.534651 1.879263 2.356453 3.020633 4.070881
2026-03-22 1.076083 1.288418 1.557743 1.935558 2.471997 3.242512 4.513432
2026-03-29 1.048156 1.264320 1.541865 1.937080 2.509053 3.350930 4.786963
2026-04-05 1.026235 1.246918 1.533689 1.948166 2.559678 3.482523 5.112862
2026-04-12 1.006274 1.233443 1.532977 1.973872 2.640104 3.677786 5.596258
2026-04-19 0.972779 1.200749 1.504862 1.959153 2.659212 3.778690 5.930555
2026-04-26 0.934128 1.159534 1.463070 1.921976 2.640646 3.815451 6.150019
2026-05-03 0.889223 1.108093 1.404758 1.857057 2.573474 3.763110 6.184887
2026-05-10 0.857937 1.074307 1.369994 1.825591 2.557723 3.798179 6.404252
2026-05-17 0.835827 1.052403 1.351139 1.817052 2.578376 3.899135 6.780752
2026-05-24 0.810126 1.024516 1.322442 1.791638 2.568776 3.943372 7.038991
2026-05-31 0.773191 0.979672 1.267537 1.722824 2.481438 3.834886 6.926720
2026-06-07 0.756117 0.962503 1.252524 1.716056 2.499887 3.928739 7.313164
2026-06-14 0.755540 0.968760 1.272120 1.765054 2.618468 4.229462 8.283476
2026-06-21 0.742078 0.955932 1.262632 1.766377 2.652117 4.363682 8.854690